2008 - Tropical Storm Forecasts - Eastern Pacific, Hawaii, Caribbean & Atlantic - Page 30

**Ally** · 10-12-2008, 10:45 AM

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 121141
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152008
500 AM PDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...NORBERT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...MOISTURE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES...

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST OR ABOUT
70 MILES...110 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHIHUAHUA MEXICO.

NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...34 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK
NORBERT...OR ITS REMNANTS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO THIS MORNING...AND OVER WESTERN TEXAS AND NEW
MEXICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION
VERY SOON...AND TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS
MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. IN ADDITION...NORBERT OR ITS REMNANTS
COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...28.4 N...107.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

**middy** · 10-12-2008, 07:35 PM

We now have a Nana
TROPICAL STORM NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 1NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 PM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.9 WEST OR ABOUT 925
MILES...1485 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

NANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND NANA
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...16.4 N...37.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

**Ally** · 10-13-2008, 05:16 AM

000
WTNT34 KNHC 130240
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
1100 PM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008

...TROPICAL STORM IN EASTERN ATLANTIC EXPECTED TO WEAKEN...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.8 WEST OR ABOUT 980
MILES...1580 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

NANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON
MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...16.6 N...38.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

**Ally** · 10-13-2008, 09:01 AM

000
WTNT34 KNHC 130831
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NANA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2008

...NANA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1015
MILES...1635 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

NANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR INTENSIFICATION...
AND NANA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...16.6 N...39.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

**Ally** · 10-13-2008, 01:44 PM

Nana now down to tropical depression.

A new tropical depression (TD15) has formed.

Also a special tropical disturbance notification has been released for a 3rd system...

000
WONT41 KNHC 131516
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2008

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA...AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...
AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTH OR NORTHWESTWARD. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM ON TUESDAY...IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA...
HONDURAS...AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA

**alphakitty** · 10-13-2008, 06:25 PM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
500 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION
OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.

THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

**alphakitty** · 10-14-2008, 11:56 AM

TD15 is now TS Omar

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OMAR ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1100 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA STRENGTHENS INTO
TROPICAL STORM OMAR...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ST. MARTIN...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SABA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA FROM CURACAO TO BE NEAR LATITUDE
14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 125 MILES...
200 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TODAY...
WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR. GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...
110 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

OMAR MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.0 N...69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

**middy** · 10-14-2008, 06:46 PM

TROPICAL STORM OMAR ADVISORY NUMBER 6NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
500 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...OMAR RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...
...HURRICANE WATCHES AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...ANTIGUA
AND BARBUDA...AND FRANCE...HAVE ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF MONTSERRAT.

AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO BE
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST OR ABOUT 345
MILES...550 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
120 MILES...195 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CURACAO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...OMAR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PASS OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND OMAR COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON
WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
DATA IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

OMAR MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 20
INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE WEST-
AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF ALL OF THE ISLANDS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THESE PROLONGED SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND
DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.0 N...68.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

**alphakitty** · 10-14-2008, 09:13 PM

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OMAR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
800 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...OMAR LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA...ST.
KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. MAARTEN/MARTIN...AND ST.
BARTHELEMY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF MONTSERRAT.
THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OMAR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.3 WEST OR ABOUT 335
MILES...540 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

OMAR IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...OMAR WOULD MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
OMAR IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON
WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWESTERN AND
NORTH-CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND THE NORTHERN GUAJIRA PENINSULA. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 20
INCHES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

OMAR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LARGE SWELLS THAT WILL AFFECT THE WEST-
AND SOUTH-FACING COASTS OF ALL OF THE ISLANDS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND DAMAGE TO
COASTAL STRUCTURES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...14.1 N...68.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

**alphakitty** · 10-14-2008, 09:15 PM

New Tropical Depression forms in the Western Caribbean

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD
TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF THE POORLY ORGANIZED
DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5
WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 260 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS
A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING
THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N...83.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/SCHAUER CLARK