2008 - Tropical Storm Forecasts - Eastern Pacific, Hawaii, Caribbean & Atlantic - Page 3

**Ally** · 07-17-2008, 07:30 AM

000
WTNT32 KNHC 170836
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 57
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST THU JUL 17 2008

...BERTHA WEAKENS BUT CONTINUES MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST OR ABOUT 355
MILES...575 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...AND A NORTHEASTWARD TURN
WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...34.5 N...59.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

**Ally** · 07-17-2008, 07:31 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 170835
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
200 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2008

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST OR ABOUT 530
MILES...850 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND FAUSTO COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE IN DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...11.4 N...103.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

**Ally** · 07-17-2008, 02:11 PM

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 58
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 AM AST THU JUL 17 2008

...BERTHA STILL ON TRACK AWAY FROM LAND...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST OR ABOUT 390
MILES...630 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 905 MILES...
1460 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
MOTION TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LIKELY ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...34.2 N...58.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

NNNN

**Ally** · 07-17-2008, 02:12 PM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 171457
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2008

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST OR ABOUT 510
MILES...825 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY...AND THAT
GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAUSTO COULD BE A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY OR SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...11.6 N...104.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 03:13 AM

000
WTNT32 KNHC 180254
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 60
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 PM AST THU JUL 17 2008

...BERTHA MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.4 WEST OR ABOUT 555
MILES...895 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 895 MILES...
1435 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...33.9 N...55.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 03:14 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 180239
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 PM PDT THU JUL 17 2008

...FAUSTO A LITTLE STRONGER...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST OR ABOUT 430
MILES...690 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...AND FAUSTO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...13.0 N...105.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/RHOME

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 08:05 AM

000
WTNT32 KNHC 180833
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 61
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
500 AM AST FRI JUL 18 2008

...TENACIOUS BERTHA REFUSES TO WEAKEN...

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.7 WEST OR ABOUT 825
MILES...1325 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS BUT BERTHA SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...34.8 N...53.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 08:07 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 180816
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
200 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2008

...FAUSTO NOT QUITE A HURRICANE...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST OR ABOUT 425
MILES...690 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...AND FAUSTO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...13.3 N...106.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 08:10 AM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 180818
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ELIDA ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062008
200 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2008

...ELIDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELIDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.9 WEST OR ABOUT
1100 MILES...1775 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ELIDA ENCOUNTERS COOLER
WATERS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...17.5 N...125.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 01:14 PM

Fausto has been upgraded to Hurricane and will be tracked on our Eastern pacific hurricane thread.