2008 - Eastern Pacific & Hawaii Hurricane Forecasts - Page 2

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 03:15 AM

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 180240
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ELIDA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062008
800 PM PDT THU JUL 17 2008

...ELIDA WEAKENS A LITTLE THIS EVENING...BUT STILL A HURRICANE...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ELIDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1030 MILES
...1655 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ELIDA ENCOUNTERS COOLER
WATERS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...17.3 N...124.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/RHOME

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 08:07 AM

Elida is downgraded to TS, all further forecasts will be posted on the TS thread.

**Ally** · 07-18-2008, 01:14 PM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 181440
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2008

...FAUSTO BECOMES A HURRICANE...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES
...720 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...13.6 N...108.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

**Ally** · 07-19-2008, 03:24 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 190235
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 2008

...FAUSTO A LITTLE STRONGER THIS EVENING...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 450 MILES
...725 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
OFFSHORE FROM THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N...109.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN

**Ally** · 07-19-2008, 06:41 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 190842
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
200 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...FAUSTO CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES
...715 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...14.8 N...109.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME

**Ally** · 07-19-2008, 02:05 PM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 191450
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...FAUSTO GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES
...740 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...15.2 N...110.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

**Ally** · 07-20-2008, 04:49 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 200238
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...FAUSTO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST OR ABOUT 480 MILES
...770 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...BUT GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125
MILES...205 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...16.3 N...111.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN

**Ally** · 07-20-2008, 07:12 AM

ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
200 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST OR ABOUT 515 MILES
...830 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...17.2 N...111.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME

NNNN

**Ally** · 07-20-2008, 12:47 PM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 201456
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES
...610 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT
THE SAME SPEED OF MOTION DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING OF THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO
DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...18.0 N...112.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/KNABB

**Ally** · 07-21-2008, 03:23 AM

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 210252
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
800 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES
...600 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FAUSTO IS EXECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...114.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER SISKO/FRANKLIN