Cruising Talk - View Single Post - 2008

**Ally** · 07-13-2008, 04:20 AM

000
WTNT32 KNHC 130540
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
200 AM AST SUN JUL 13 2008

...BERTHA REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES...
350 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

BERTHA IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY. A VERY SLOW MOTION GENERALLY
TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO RESUME ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUE ON
MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
PASS NOT FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...ALTHOUGH THE MOTION COULD BE ERRATIC AT TIMES AND
COULD BRING THE CENTER OF BERTHA CLOSER TO BERMUDA THAN THE
FORECAST TRACK INDICATES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...AND BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...29.8 N...62.5 W. MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...984 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN